In reply to the concerns voiced above:
Developers who are staying away from the PS3:
Atari
SNK
...who cares? There are 500 others, number one...and number two...when was the last time either of them did something I cared about? A top tier title I ran out and bought for the console?
Currently Cancelled games:
Endless Saga
WWE Smackdown vs Raw 2007 -- Possible continuation in 2007
Cancelled for launch titles. Endless Saga will be out later, I wager; SDvR07 is near and dear to my heart and that one is also full on cancelled, but only because it can't be done in time for co-release with the other versions. The company updates the game every year and the time it would take to fully utilize the PS3 for it's respective version would set them behind for 2008's installment. That's the only reason why that was done.
Either way, I don't think either of these games is on the Wii (SDvR can't be;the controller can't do it), so your point only further serves to illustrate my initial gripe.
Lost exclusives:
GTA4
Crap, and glad to see it go.
Unreal Tournament 2007
It's a PC game, doesn't belong on a console anyway.
Assassin's Creed
Wherever it ends up it will still be too good for the Wii to render.
How do you know exclusivity is 'lost' on these? How do you know they haven't reached a licensing agreement of some sort and are in fact going to make extra money 'publishing' the other version? Even so, lost exclusives are impossible; contractually speaking there wouldn't be such an easy hole in the clause. These games were going to come out multiplatform since day one, none of them are actually 'exclusive.'
DragonQuest will probably move to the Wii
Not to mention, developers like EA and Ubisoft have far more games in developement for the Wii than the PS3.
EA and Ubisoft both suck. I can go into detail about that but I don't want to go too far into other points. But far as I'm concerned you can have them. They only jumped ship because of that gimmick controller anyway.
If Sony flops at TGS like they did at E3, more developers will be pulling out. Sony will also lose a majority of their fanbase with their $600 pricetag.
Most of Sony's fanbase can afford that 600 dollar pricetag. And most of us heard this same type of trash talk last year, and the year before, and the year before that, and...you still lost. By a longshot.
it's gaining major appeal to non-gamers as well as casuals
The exact kind of people I don't want in MY industry. They hold us back. People like that are why games like WoW have to have freaking dial up support and all that backward compatibility crap that ruins it for the rest of us...because people don't have a true interest in the hobby.
Let me ask you, if you built really detailed models, wouldn't you be pissed if 500 other dudes built snap together 4 piece pre-painted models, got as much cred and pride from it as you and your hard effort did, and then the local model store started to only carried those kinds of models, therefore ruining your hobby?
No, it gives 3rd-party some breathing room. Nintendo is it's own worst enemy and if they released that title at launch, then their 3rd-party support will drop faster then an elevator on a 2 story building.
Why is it that you guys think Nintendo's third party support is lackluster by accident? They do that strictly on purpose--every title is an exclusive niche title which you and/or your mom will buy in earnest, giving them exclusive revenue in all aspects of the game's creation. They don't have low support because they released a game that made other devs not feel good about competing with it--they have low support because they WANT ALL YOUR MONEY FOR THEMSELVES.
The success they've been experiencing with the Nintendo DS has been extraordinary, and that same success, in my opinion, will most likely carry over to the Nintendo Wii.
It's a toy for kids, that moms buy to keep them shut up on the ride to school. It's success is a testament to the poorness of american parenting. And on top of that it is only doing so well because it receives no legitimate competition (the PSP marketing is half assed, in other words).
Bottom line, I ain't worried. None of these are deal breakers, not in the slightest. It'll do as well as it always has. But I'm confident it will remain dead last.